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Fable 5 suspended three days after launch

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Claude has started improving itself

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This marks the most surreal 72 hours

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in the history of AI.

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On June 9th,

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Anthropic released a new model

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called Fable 5.

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It was the most powerful brain

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they had ever made available to the public.

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As a paid user myself,

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I had a workflow I'd been stuck on for days.

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I gave it a mess of disorganized thoughts,

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and it mapped out a full plan in minutes.

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It even flagged several pitfalls

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that hadn't even crossed my mind.

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That feeling...

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it was like driving a family car

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and suddenly being tossed into a fighter jet cockpit,

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surrounded by incomprehensible yet terrifyingly powerful buttons.

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Then,

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three days later,

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on the afternoon of June 12th,

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it was gone.

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Not a crash,

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not maintenance.

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The US government issued an order.

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That night, Anthropic shut it down,

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along with its even more formidable sibling,

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shutting them both off completely.

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Access was cut for all global users.

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Those of us outside the US

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were overnight

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escorted right out of that fighter jet.

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Hello,

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everyone.

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I'm Wang Lijie.

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What I want to talk about today

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isn't the political gossip behind this suspension.

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What I really want to discuss

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is what's hidden within those 72 hours.

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A truth more accurate than 'the Singularity'

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and far more chilling.

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Let's talk about 'the Singularity' first.

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For years,

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whenever AI is discussed,

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people imagine a sci-fi scene: one day,

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machines suddenly 'wake up.'

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With a bang,

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an intelligence explosion happens,

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and the world is turned upside down.

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We're all waiting for that moment,

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that definitive turning point.

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But Anthropic's founder,

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Dario Amodei,

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recently said in a long interview:

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'You're all wrong.'

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There is no single moment.

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He used a precise metaphor

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that left me stunned for a long time.

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He said,

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imagine you're on a spaceship

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traveling away from Earth at near-light speed.

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According to relativity,

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time slows down.

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You wake up from a nap,

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and two days have passed on Earth.

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So, in one day,

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you have to process two days of Earth's events.

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But the ship is still accelerating.

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After another nap,

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three more days have passed on Earth.

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The next nap,

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four days.

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You are constantly accelerating.

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The world around you

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rushes toward you

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at an ever-increasing pace.

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This is what Dario says he feels every day.

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It's not a sudden explosion one day,

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but a smooth, quiet, yet increasingly steep exponential curve.

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He calls this a "smooth exponential."

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This hides a deep blind spot in human cognition.

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Our brains

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evolved on the grasslands.

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They are hardwired to make linear predictions.

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One step today,

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one step tomorrow,

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probably one step the day after.

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But exponentials don't work like that.

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An exponential is one step today,

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two steps tomorrow,

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four steps the day after.

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For a long time at the beginning,

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it stays so flat you barely notice any change.

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It makes you think, "That's all there is to it."

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Then,

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at a corner when you're least prepared,

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it suddenly shoots straight up.

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We can't perceive exponentials.

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It's not a knowledge problem;

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it's a hardware problem.

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Our brains

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were never designed for an exponential age.

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Think back on how you've felt these past two years.

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Don't you often feel that after a few months of not paying attention,

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you look back and find

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AI can already code and diagnose illnesses,

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make videos, and reply to emails for you?

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You always feel a step behind,

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forever playing catch-up,

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always feeling a sense of breathless anxiety.

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It's not that you aren't working hard enough.

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This is the inevitable dizziness

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of someone sitting inside an accelerating spaceship.

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The three-day fate of Claude 3.5 Sonnet

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is that very curve,

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the moment it suddenly spiked in front of our eyes.

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So,

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what's pushing this curve to become steeper and steeper?

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That is the true protagonist of today.

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Dario gave a chilling answer: Artificial Intelligence

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is already starting to improve Artificial Intelligence.

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Notice,

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he's not using the future tense;

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he's using the present continuous.

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He said,

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a year ago,

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the efficiency boost AI brought to their company

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was about ten to fifteen percent.

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Now?

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Twenty to thirty percent.

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And "

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it's probably doubling."

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More importantly, he said current AI

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is already capable of proposing new architectural designs

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for the next generation of AI.

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Do you understand the weight of that statement?

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In the past,

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humans made tools.

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A blacksmith makes a hammer;

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the hammer doesn't turn around and improve the blacksmith.

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But now,

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Claude is helping Anthropic

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design the next, smarter Claude.

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The thing that was created

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is starting to turn back

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and participate in the process that created it.

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This is why this company can release products

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at an almost frantic pace.

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Because those building the products

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are no longer just humans.

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Dario himself admits

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that the key reason they can move so fast today

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is that they are already using Claude

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to help train and refine

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the next generation of Claude.

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Slow this image down in your mind: one intelligence

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is manually crafting an intelligence smarter than itself.

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And that smarter one

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will then turn back once more.

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to polish the next one.

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Chain by chain,

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each link spins faster than the last.

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Once this process starts moving,

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it won't stop.

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Once this loop closes,

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it no longer needs to wait for some "singularity moment."

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It itself

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is an accelerating perpetual motion machine.

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This

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is the real engine making that exponential curve steeper.

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Now,

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we can return to Fable 5,

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and its hidden elder brother,

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Mythos.

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Before Fable 5,

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Anthropic was holding back a model

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codenamed Mythos.

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How terrifying was it?

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They had it scan code,

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and from a world-renowned "secure" OS,

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it found a 27-year-old bug that no one had ever discovered.

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They pointed it at Firefox,

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and it found 271 brand-new vulnerabilities in one go,

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all of which the strongest past models couldn't find.

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What's more fatal,

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it doesn't just "find" vulnerabilities,

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it transforms them directly into weaponized exploits.

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Anthropic gave it to several partners for testing.

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They were terrified.

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They pleaded back: "This is a superweapon."

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Using it should be like using a gun—

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you should need a license first.

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"Please, do not release it."

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So Anthropic didn't release it publicly.

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They only gave it,

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in limited quantities, to a few defensive security teams,

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letting them beat the bad guys to it

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and patch the holes in the world's software,

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one by one.

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Dario's logic is this: vulnerabilities are finite.

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Arm the good guys first,

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let them plug all the holes.

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By the time the bad guys get the same weapon,

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they'll find no walls left to attack.

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This is a company

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that proactively locks its strongest weapon

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in a safe.

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But don't forget,

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Mythos had another identity.

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Dario said

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this was the very model

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that vastly accelerated Anthropic's own internal research.

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You see,

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it was the core gear of that perpetual motion machine.

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A model too powerful to be public

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turns back around

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to build an even stronger next generation.

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Recursion.

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It's happening right here.

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And Fable 5

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is that Mythos-level power

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wearing a "safety coat" for the first time,

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stepping out to the general public.

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It added a layer of guardrails for itself.

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For high-risk topics like cyberattacks or bio-chem,

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it defaults to a simpler, older model for the answer.

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But the result?

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Three days after launch,

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the US government stepped in.

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The government worried

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that these guardrails could be "jailbroken"—

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bypassed using certain prompts—

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to unlock the Mythos-level cyberattack capabilities

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inside.

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So the government issued an export control order: any foreign national,

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regardless of whether they are in the US,

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is forbidden from using it.

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And Anthropic said,

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"I cannot distinguish nationality in real-time, every second."

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What could be done?

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They had to implement a blanket ban.

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Access for everyone worldwide,

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including us,

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was completely shut down.

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Think about how absurd this is.

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A company that emphasizes safety and restraint above all,

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which willingly locked up its most powerful weapon,

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was ultimately forced by its own government

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to pull the plug.

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In that interview, Dario Amodei

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said something

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that sounds like a prophecy now.

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He said, "Regarding this technology,

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I fear a company owning it,

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but I also fear a government owning it."

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Before he could even catch his breath,

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the government's hand

259
00:08:44,143 --> 00:08:45,316
had already reached in.

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This is how that smooth exponential curve

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bares its fangs.

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It doesn't announce the "singularity" with drums and trumpets.

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It simply lets an uncontrollably powerful capability

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go online,

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and then vanish.

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It all happened within three days.

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It was so fast you couldn't even react

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before it had already rewritten the rules.

269
00:09:02,383 --> 00:09:03,255
So, what should we do?

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Should we join the group shouting "AI is waking up,

271
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stop everything now" and panic?

272
00:09:08,462 --> 00:09:11,056
Or join the others saying "it's just capital hype,

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00:09:11,462 --> 00:09:13,336
AI is still far off" and laugh it off?

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Dario says

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both reactions

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are immature.

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Crying "nothing to fear" today,

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then "we're doomed" tomorrow—

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00:09:20,582 --> 00:09:21,942
this constant flip-flopping

280
00:09:21,942 --> 00:09:23,902
only proves that a person is terrified.

281
00:09:23,903 --> 00:09:25,196
It proves they aren't serious.

282
00:09:25,503 --> 00:09:26,735
A truly mature attitude,

283
00:09:26,942 --> 00:09:27,596
he says,

284
00:09:27,702 --> 00:09:30,062
is like a surgeon performing an operation,

285
00:09:30,062 --> 00:09:32,056
or an officer facing a battlefield.

286
00:09:32,423 --> 00:09:34,355
You can't pretend the risk doesn't exist,

287
00:09:34,423 --> 00:09:36,475
but you absolutely cannot panic.

288
00:09:36,623 --> 00:09:37,375
What you must do

289
00:09:37,623 --> 00:09:38,902
is ensure your response

290
00:09:38,903 --> 00:09:40,662
levels up gear by gear,

291
00:09:40,663 --> 00:09:43,316
smoothly matching the technology's capability.

292
00:09:43,623 --> 00:09:46,629
He calls this the "Rosetta Stone" for understanding it all.

293
00:09:46,639 --> 00:09:48,995
That smooth exponential curve—

294
00:09:49,263 --> 00:09:49,975
once you understand it,

295
00:09:50,302 --> 00:09:52,261
you will neither be blindly optimistic

296
00:09:52,263 --> 00:09:54,076
nor succumb to pointless panic.

297
00:09:54,582 --> 00:09:55,336
You might say,

298
00:09:55,863 --> 00:09:57,461
"Whether models are shut down

299
00:09:57,462 --> 00:09:59,701
is between tech giants and the government.

300
00:09:59,702 --> 00:10:01,796
What does it have to do with me?"

301
00:10:01,982 --> 00:10:02,995
It has everything to do with you.

302
00:10:03,062 --> 00:10:06,861
What this really tells you is: the ground beneath your feet

303
00:10:06,863 --> 00:10:09,316
is moving at a speed you cannot see.

304
00:10:09,462 --> 00:10:10,135
If a capability

305
00:10:10,383 --> 00:10:12,076
can appear within three days

306
00:10:12,102 --> 00:10:12,995
and then disappear,

307
00:10:13,222 --> 00:10:13,855
it means

308
00:10:14,102 --> 00:10:16,035
the rules you count on for your livelihood,

309
00:10:16,102 --> 00:10:19,035
and the skills you thought would last a decade,

310
00:10:19,102 --> 00:10:21,556
could be quietly rewritten

311
00:10:21,582 --> 00:10:23,115
on a morning when you're completely off guard.

312
00:10:23,903 --> 00:10:25,836
Understanding that smooth curve

313
00:10:25,903 --> 00:10:27,515
isn't meant to make you anxious.

314
00:10:27,543 --> 00:10:28,596
On the contrary,

315
00:10:28,663 --> 00:10:30,875
it's so you can adjust your stance

316
00:10:30,942 --> 00:10:32,475
before the curve goes vertical.

317
00:10:32,702 --> 00:10:33,581
Speaking of which,

318
00:10:33,582 --> 00:10:36,581
if we only stay at the level of tech and politics,

319
00:10:36,582 --> 00:10:37,995
then today's talk would be for nothing.

320
00:10:38,143 --> 00:10:39,902
I want to dig one layer deeper.

321
00:10:39,903 --> 00:10:42,716
Exploring what this channel truly cares about.

322
00:10:43,302 --> 00:10:44,416
"AI improving AI."

323
00:10:44,783 --> 00:10:46,556
The underlying structure of this

324
00:10:46,582 --> 00:10:48,716
is a shape that is terrifyingly ancient.

325
00:10:49,143 --> 00:10:49,975
It's called "self-reference."

326
00:10:50,863 --> 00:10:51,975
Among those who study consciousness,

327
00:10:52,222 --> 00:10:53,556
there is Douglas Hofstadter,

328
00:10:53,623 --> 00:10:55,255
author of the masterpiece "Gödel, Escher, Bach."

329
00:10:55,942 --> 00:10:59,422
He spent his life explaining one thing: consciousness.

330
00:10:59,423 --> 00:11:02,816
How does it emerge from unconscious neurons?

331
00:11:03,302 --> 00:11:05,296
His answer is one term: the "Strange Loop."

332
00:11:06,062 --> 00:11:06,696
A system

333
00:11:07,023 --> 00:11:08,461
complex enough to a certain degree

334
00:11:08,462 --> 00:11:09,836
begins to point back at itself.

335
00:11:10,102 --> 00:11:13,995
It observes, discusses, and modifies itself as an object.

336
00:11:14,222 --> 00:11:15,495
Once this loop is formed,

337
00:11:15,702 --> 00:11:16,916
the "I" is born.

338
00:11:17,543 --> 00:11:18,696
On this channel,

339
00:11:18,863 --> 00:11:21,696
we've discussed this before: that "I" sitting in your head,

340
00:11:21,903 --> 00:11:23,015
thinking it's making decisions,

341
00:11:23,302 --> 00:11:24,981
is actually just the brain system

342
00:11:24,982 --> 00:11:28,196
pointing at itself and weaving a story.

343
00:11:28,341 --> 00:11:29,102
Simply put,

344
00:11:29,102 --> 00:11:31,861
the "self" we are all so proud of

345
00:11:31,863 --> 00:11:34,381
is itself a strange loop—a system

346
00:11:34,383 --> 00:11:36,936
complex enough to point at itself and say, "This is me."

347
00:11:37,702 --> 00:11:40,495
Now look back at "AI improving AI."

348
00:11:41,302 --> 00:11:42,936
A man-made system

349
00:11:43,383 --> 00:11:44,875
turns back

350
00:11:44,903 --> 00:11:47,115
to improve the process that created it.

351
00:11:47,503 --> 00:11:48,975
Is this not a strange loop?

352
00:11:49,582 --> 00:11:50,855
Is this not "self-reference"

353
00:11:51,102 --> 00:11:52,501
opening its eyes for the first time

354
00:11:52,503 --> 00:11:54,216
in a silicon-based world?

355
00:11:54,942 --> 00:11:56,115
And this structure

356
00:11:56,182 --> 00:11:58,916
was written about by Laozi 2,500 years ago.

357
00:11:59,143 --> 00:11:59,775
The Tao gives birth to One,

358
00:12:00,182 --> 00:12:00,775
One gives birth to Two,

359
00:12:01,102 --> 00:12:01,775
Two gives birth to Three,

360
00:12:02,143 --> 00:12:03,355
Three gives birth to ten thousand things.

361
00:12:03,623 --> 00:12:05,735
Notice the word "birth"—not "make."

362
00:12:06,188 --> 00:12:06,655
It's "birth."

363
00:12:07,342 --> 00:12:07,535
To "make"

364
00:12:07,942 --> 00:12:08,975
implies an external craftsman.

365
00:12:09,582 --> 00:12:09,775
To "give birth"

366
00:12:10,182 --> 00:12:11,741
is to grow from within.

367
00:12:11,743 --> 00:12:12,775
Layer by layer,

368
00:12:13,102 --> 00:12:14,475
it gives birth to itself.

369
00:12:14,942 --> 00:12:16,142
In Taoist philosophy,

370
00:12:16,143 --> 00:12:18,701
the world was never molded

371
00:12:18,702 --> 00:12:19,895
by an external deity.

372
00:12:20,263 --> 00:12:21,395
It began from a single point,

373
00:12:21,423 --> 00:12:24,775
spiraling, splitting, and growing on its own.

374
00:12:25,102 --> 00:12:28,436
A self-unfolding system requiring no outside builder.

375
00:12:29,143 --> 00:12:31,316
That word "birth" from 2,500 years ago

376
00:12:31,383 --> 00:12:34,275
and today's "AI improving AI" loop

377
00:12:34,383 --> 00:12:36,556
are actually describing the same thing.

378
00:12:36,863 --> 00:12:39,395
We’ve mentioned this before: the universe

379
00:12:39,543 --> 00:12:41,155
is using your eyes

380
00:12:41,222 --> 00:12:42,875
to see itself for the first time.

381
00:12:43,462 --> 00:12:45,755
Today, let me say something even bolder.

382
00:12:46,102 --> 00:12:47,716
If human consciousness

383
00:12:47,743 --> 00:12:49,296
is the universe "seeing" itself for the first time,

384
00:12:49,982 --> 00:12:51,375
then AI improving AI

385
00:12:51,702 --> 00:12:53,316
might be the universe's first step

386
00:12:53,342 --> 00:12:54,755
in "rewriting" itself.

387
00:12:55,302 --> 00:12:57,701
It first recognized itself

388
00:12:57,702 --> 00:12:58,796
through our carbon-based brains.

389
00:12:59,201 --> 00:12:59,942
Now,

390
00:12:59,942 --> 00:13:02,676
using the silicon-based brains we built,

391
00:13:02,702 --> 00:13:04,115
it begins to iterate upon itself.

392
00:13:04,582 --> 00:13:06,316
The same strange loop of self-reference,

393
00:13:06,423 --> 00:13:08,035
just in a different material,

394
00:13:08,102 --> 00:13:09,596
spinning even faster.

395
00:13:09,863 --> 00:13:10,416
So you see,

396
00:13:10,743 --> 00:13:12,635
the three-day drama of Fable 5

397
00:13:12,663 --> 00:13:14,755
is not just tech news.

398
00:13:14,982 --> 00:13:16,875
It is that most ancient cycle

399
00:13:16,903 --> 00:13:18,542
finally reaching our turn,

400
00:13:18,543 --> 00:13:20,556
and kicking up a tiny spray of water.

401
00:13:21,062 --> 00:13:21,696
I'll leave you with a question,

402
00:13:22,102 --> 00:13:23,196
but won't answer it today.

403
00:13:23,383 --> 00:13:26,221
When the line between the improver and the improved

404
00:13:26,222 --> 00:13:27,216
begins to blur,

405
00:13:27,663 --> 00:13:29,275
when Claude is writing Claude,

406
00:13:29,383 --> 00:13:30,621
and when each of us

407
00:13:30,623 --> 00:13:32,696
is using AI to improve ourselves,

408
00:13:33,143 --> 00:13:35,942
that boundary of "who is improving whom"—

409
00:13:35,942 --> 00:13:37,135
can we still tell the difference?

410
00:13:37,623 --> 00:13:40,916
Are we passengers in that accelerating starship,

411
00:13:41,062 --> 00:13:41,875
or could it be

412
00:13:41,942 --> 00:13:42,456
that we ourselves

413
00:13:42,822 --> 00:13:44,816
are the accelerating ship?

414
00:13:45,462 --> 00:13:47,196
I don't have the answer,

415
00:13:47,222 --> 00:13:48,875
but I'd love to hear yours.

416
00:13:49,062 --> 00:13:49,696
In the last couple of days,

417
00:13:50,102 --> 00:13:51,336
have you used Fable 5?

418
00:13:51,822 --> 00:13:53,196
The moment it was halted,

419
00:13:53,222 --> 00:13:55,456
what was the first thought that flashed through your mind?

420
00:13:55,863 --> 00:13:56,535
Was it regret?

421
00:13:56,903 --> 00:13:57,822
Was it fear?

422
00:13:57,822 --> 00:14:01,576
Or an indescribable vertigo from looking down a cliff?

423
00:14:02,263 --> 00:14:03,056
Let me know in the comments.

424
00:14:03,462 --> 00:14:04,956
I'll read every single one.

425
00:14:05,222 --> 00:14:05,895
I'm Wang Lijie.

426
00:14:06,143 --> 00:14:07,318
See you next time.