1 00:00:00,347 --> 00:00:01,292 Sequoia Capital says 2 00:00:01,667 --> 00:00:03,712 your skills are turning into aluminum 3 00:00:04,267 --> 00:00:05,952 In late April 2026 4 00:00:06,107 --> 00:00:10,631 Sequoia the king of global venture capital held a closed door summit in San Francisco 5 00:00:10,827 --> 00:00:13,791 open only to top AI founders and investors 6 00:00:14,186 --> 00:00:17,032 OpenAI president Greg Brockman was there 7 00:00:17,146 --> 00:00:19,231 AI legend Andrej Karpathy was there too 8 00:00:19,387 --> 00:00:21,711 but the biggest bombshell did not come from them 9 00:00:21,827 --> 00:00:25,152 it came from the opening talk by three Sequoia partners 10 00:00:25,867 --> 00:00:28,371 Here they are first the investor behind Snowflake 11 00:00:28,827 --> 00:00:31,132 Zoom and Notion Pat Grady 12 00:00:31,586 --> 00:00:34,799 then the author of what AI investors worldwide treat as a mental map 13 00:00:34,799 --> 00:00:38,171 the Sequoia generative AI series Sonya Huang 14 00:00:38,707 --> 00:00:40,851 and Konstantine Buhler who backed XBOW Xaira 15 00:00:41,067 --> 00:00:44,631 Waymo and other frontier AI companies 16 00:00:45,551 --> 00:00:45,856 Hello 17 00:00:46,350 --> 00:00:46,856 hi everyone 18 00:00:47,151 --> 00:00:48,155 I am Leo Wang 19 00:00:48,591 --> 00:00:53,356 Today I want to talk about the one story in that Sequoia talk that chilled me the most 20 00:00:53,750 --> 00:00:55,115 not the technical details 21 00:00:55,231 --> 00:00:57,235 but a story about aluminum 22 00:00:57,790 --> 00:01:00,189 This true piece of history from a hundred and forty years ago 23 00:01:00,191 --> 00:01:01,396 is frighteningly precise 24 00:01:01,551 --> 00:01:04,396 it predicts what happens to every one of us in the AI age 25 00:01:04,983 --> 00:01:06,049 Before I tell that story 26 00:01:06,263 --> 00:01:07,334 we need to be clear on one thing 27 00:01:07,344 --> 00:01:10,648 what exactly did Sequoia announce in this talk 28 00:01:10,983 --> 00:01:13,308 In one line AGI is here 29 00:01:13,663 --> 00:01:14,329 You heard that right 30 00:01:14,704 --> 00:01:16,582 this is not clickbait from some influencer 31 00:01:16,584 --> 00:01:18,629 and it is not an AI company hyping itself 32 00:01:18,864 --> 00:01:21,248 this is the firm behind Apple Google Nvidia 33 00:01:21,304 --> 00:01:24,429 and Airbnb the top venture firm in the world Sequoia Capital 34 00:01:24,463 --> 00:01:26,788 putting that statement on the table officially 35 00:01:26,944 --> 00:01:28,269 That is bombshell number one 36 00:01:28,999 --> 00:01:30,924 Pat Grady said on stage 37 00:01:30,999 --> 00:01:34,564 the AI apps of the past few years were like faster horses 38 00:01:34,598 --> 00:01:37,077 ten to forty percent more efficient 39 00:01:37,079 --> 00:01:37,424 nice 40 00:01:37,799 --> 00:01:39,803 but you are still riding a horse 41 00:01:39,999 --> 00:01:40,943 Now it is different 42 00:01:41,199 --> 00:01:42,243 the car has arrived 43 00:01:42,398 --> 00:01:46,083 the new generation of AI apps makes you ten to forty times more productive 44 00:01:46,158 --> 00:01:47,437 what changes is not the speed 45 00:01:47,439 --> 00:01:49,044 it is the nature of the work itself 46 00:01:49,318 --> 00:01:50,883 Then he shifted 47 00:01:50,999 --> 00:01:52,624 and said something that made the whole room hold its breath 48 00:01:53,079 --> 00:01:55,663 let us be bold here we believe 49 00:01:55,958 --> 00:01:56,943 this is AGI 50 00:01:58,119 --> 00:01:58,464 Note this 51 00:01:58,759 --> 00:02:00,843 Sequoia is not using the academic definition 52 00:02:01,119 --> 00:02:03,964 Pat put it plainly I studied economics 53 00:02:04,039 --> 00:02:05,518 we are investors 54 00:02:05,518 --> 00:02:08,083 we are not here to write a technical definition of AGI 55 00:02:08,279 --> 00:02:09,318 what we look at is this 56 00:02:09,318 --> 00:02:12,383 can you send an AI off to finish a complex task 57 00:02:12,878 --> 00:02:15,024 when it hits a wall can it figure something out 58 00:02:15,478 --> 00:02:16,904 when it fails can it recover on its own 59 00:02:17,359 --> 00:02:18,904 can it keep going until the job is done 60 00:02:19,359 --> 00:02:19,864 If it can 61 00:02:20,198 --> 00:02:22,063 then to me that is AGI 62 00:02:23,155 --> 00:02:25,075 The scary part of that definition is 63 00:02:25,076 --> 00:02:26,481 it already happened 64 00:02:26,636 --> 00:02:28,421 Claude Code today 65 00:02:28,636 --> 00:02:30,041 OpenAI Codex 66 00:02:30,116 --> 00:02:31,840 and all the agent frameworks out there 67 00:02:31,995 --> 00:02:34,921 you really can send them off to do something complex 68 00:02:34,956 --> 00:02:35,981 then go grab a coffee 69 00:02:36,315 --> 00:02:38,041 and come back to finished work 70 00:02:38,196 --> 00:02:39,101 This is not science fiction 71 00:02:39,435 --> 00:02:41,120 this is what I use every day 72 00:02:41,476 --> 00:02:42,994 On my own YouTube channel 73 00:02:42,995 --> 00:02:46,641 from the script and the images to the voice and the edit 74 00:02:46,755 --> 00:02:49,201 almost all of it is done by AI 75 00:02:49,435 --> 00:02:52,880 Six months ago I still had to watch every step by hand 76 00:02:53,035 --> 00:02:54,714 now I just point a direction 77 00:02:54,715 --> 00:02:56,921 and the agents run the whole thing themselves 78 00:02:57,676 --> 00:02:59,541 This change is not gradual 79 00:02:59,875 --> 00:03:01,201 it is a cliff edge 80 00:03:01,781 --> 00:03:02,446 AGI is here 81 00:03:02,621 --> 00:03:03,207 So what now 82 00:03:03,542 --> 00:03:05,704 Sequoia founder Don Valentine had a famous line 83 00:03:05,714 --> 00:03:06,726 So what 84 00:03:07,302 --> 00:03:08,446 what does all of this actually mean 85 00:03:08,821 --> 00:03:12,707 Pat's answer is driving a car is nothing like riding a horse 86 00:03:12,781 --> 00:03:14,786 you cannot drive a car the way you ride a horse 87 00:03:14,862 --> 00:03:17,107 and you certainly cannot build cars the way you raise horses 88 00:03:17,302 --> 00:03:20,147 if you are still working with horse logic today 89 00:03:20,182 --> 00:03:22,387 you are already on the wrong track 90 00:03:22,873 --> 00:03:23,938 So where is the right one 91 00:03:24,434 --> 00:03:27,119 that brings us to bombshell number two 92 00:03:27,313 --> 00:03:31,438 Pat Grady then dropped a set of numbers that made people gasp 93 00:03:31,714 --> 00:03:32,919 for the past thirty years 94 00:03:32,994 --> 00:03:35,878 all of Silicon Valley the whole golden age of SaaS 95 00:03:35,954 --> 00:03:40,158 every founder was fighting over a six hundred fifty billion dollar software market 96 00:03:40,353 --> 00:03:41,299 that is already huge 97 00:03:41,514 --> 00:03:41,818 right 98 00:03:42,394 --> 00:03:43,239 But he said 99 00:03:43,313 --> 00:03:47,038 the real gold mine in the AI age is the ten trillion dollar services market 100 00:03:47,274 --> 00:03:47,818 Ten trillion 101 00:03:48,114 --> 00:03:49,959 fifteen times the software market 102 00:03:50,761 --> 00:03:53,226 Why could earlier tech revolutions never touch it 103 00:03:53,761 --> 00:03:57,446 because services need judgment reasoning and long term follow through 104 00:03:57,522 --> 00:03:59,087 only humans could do that before 105 00:03:59,282 --> 00:04:01,286 but now agents can 106 00:04:01,522 --> 00:04:03,946 Lawyers reviewing contracts accountants checking books 107 00:04:04,242 --> 00:04:06,807 doctors reading scans analysts writing reports 108 00:04:06,921 --> 00:04:09,560 this is no longer AI standing beside you making you faster 109 00:04:09,562 --> 00:04:11,566 this is AI doing the job itself 110 00:04:11,761 --> 00:04:13,552 Then he made a comparison that took the air out of the room 111 00:04:13,562 --> 00:04:17,046 legal services in the United States alone 112 00:04:17,082 --> 00:04:18,927 is a four hundred billion dollar industry 113 00:04:19,162 --> 00:04:21,727 one country one vertical 114 00:04:21,761 --> 00:04:24,607 is worth more than half the entire old software market 115 00:04:25,082 --> 00:04:28,928 So Sequoia's core call is that services are the new software 116 00:04:29,082 --> 00:04:30,027 the past sold tools 117 00:04:30,322 --> 00:04:31,608 the future sells outcomes 118 00:04:31,762 --> 00:04:35,488 if you are still building a product that makes people thirty percent faster 119 00:04:35,563 --> 00:04:37,728 you are competing on the wrong dimension 120 00:04:37,923 --> 00:04:38,707 the real race 121 00:04:38,923 --> 00:04:41,248 is AI replacing the service itself 122 00:04:41,853 --> 00:04:45,173 Follow the logic here you used to hire a lawyer 123 00:04:45,173 --> 00:04:47,059 at five hundred dollars an hour 124 00:04:47,093 --> 00:04:50,899 four hundred of that pays for the law stored in his head 125 00:04:51,334 --> 00:04:54,572 but if AI can pull up the same knowledge in three seconds 126 00:04:54,574 --> 00:04:56,059 and more of it and more accurately 127 00:04:56,093 --> 00:04:57,798 why would you still pay by the hour 128 00:04:58,293 --> 00:05:00,293 You are no longer paying for knowledge 129 00:05:00,293 --> 00:05:01,819 you are paying for trust 130 00:05:01,973 --> 00:05:03,218 and trust 131 00:05:03,254 --> 00:05:05,213 once AI is more accurate than humans 132 00:05:05,214 --> 00:05:06,778 gets repriced too 133 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:08,765 Bombshell number three hits even harder 134 00:05:08,999 --> 00:05:12,705 Sonya Huang put it beautifully everything you can imagine 135 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,484 that would take a hundred years to build 136 00:05:15,599 --> 00:05:18,244 can now be done in a hundred days 137 00:05:18,840 --> 00:05:21,364 A century of progress compressed into a hundred days 138 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:22,624 it sounds like a motivational poster 139 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:25,724 but then she listed three real cases 140 00:05:26,461 --> 00:05:30,586 The first is Nathan Sobo founder of the code editor Zed 141 00:05:31,021 --> 00:05:31,925 over a single vacation 142 00:05:32,220 --> 00:05:32,985 by himself 143 00:05:33,061 --> 00:05:37,386 he used AI coding tools to finish a project planned for three years 144 00:05:37,780 --> 00:05:38,566 Three years of work 145 00:05:38,821 --> 00:05:39,246 one person 146 00:05:39,461 --> 00:05:40,826 one vacation 147 00:05:41,181 --> 00:05:43,066 this is not thirty percent faster 148 00:05:43,181 --> 00:05:45,425 this is time itself compressed a hundred times 149 00:05:45,780 --> 00:05:48,785 The second is Bret Taylor founder of Sierra 150 00:05:49,061 --> 00:05:51,626 the former co CEO of Salesforce 151 00:05:51,660 --> 00:05:55,025 he rebuilt his company's entire core system over one weekend 152 00:05:55,420 --> 00:05:56,465 just one weekend 153 00:05:57,216 --> 00:05:58,502 The third is Notion 154 00:05:58,697 --> 00:06:02,341 they used AI to rewrite their whole product codebase in six weeks 155 00:06:02,457 --> 00:06:04,062 eight million lines of it 156 00:06:04,377 --> 00:06:05,502 Before AI 157 00:06:05,577 --> 00:06:08,942 a strong engineer wrote fifty to a hundred thousand lines a year 158 00:06:09,216 --> 00:06:10,776 what Notion did in six weeks 159 00:06:10,776 --> 00:06:14,062 equals three to five years of work for a large team 160 00:06:14,377 --> 00:06:17,341 Now stack all these compressed timelines together 161 00:06:17,416 --> 00:06:19,502 and it gets genuinely frightening 162 00:06:19,776 --> 00:06:21,981 if one project is compressed a hundred times 163 00:06:22,057 --> 00:06:24,541 and a team runs ten of them at once 164 00:06:24,617 --> 00:06:27,262 and each one calls a hundred agents 165 00:06:27,377 --> 00:06:29,161 that is not a hundred times faster 166 00:06:29,497 --> 00:06:30,622 it is a hundred thousand times 167 00:06:31,017 --> 00:06:33,015 Now you can feel it 168 00:06:33,017 --> 00:06:34,882 why Sequoia says the car has arrived 169 00:06:35,774 --> 00:06:38,613 But the part of the talk that really sank in me 170 00:06:38,613 --> 00:06:41,058 was the story Konstantine Buhler told 171 00:06:41,334 --> 00:06:42,159 The year is 1884 172 00:06:42,493 --> 00:06:44,698 America had just finished the Washington Monument 173 00:06:44,813 --> 00:06:47,178 the tallest building in the world at the time 174 00:06:47,334 --> 00:06:48,852 to show the highest respect 175 00:06:48,854 --> 00:06:53,258 they decided to cap it with the most precious metal on earth 176 00:06:53,334 --> 00:06:54,659 a hundred ounces of it 177 00:06:54,813 --> 00:06:56,493 The piece was so precious 178 00:06:56,493 --> 00:07:00,292 that before installation it went to Tiffany in Manhattan 179 00:07:00,294 --> 00:07:02,818 and sat in the window on public display for a while 180 00:07:03,013 --> 00:07:04,578 people lined up to see it 181 00:07:04,613 --> 00:07:06,573 some even stepped over it 182 00:07:06,573 --> 00:07:10,118 so they could brag I stepped over the tip of the Washington Monument 183 00:07:11,186 --> 00:07:13,691 By now you are probably guessing gold 184 00:07:14,068 --> 00:07:14,530 platinum 185 00:07:14,866 --> 00:07:15,371 diamond 186 00:07:16,025 --> 00:07:17,431 the answer is aluminum 187 00:07:17,547 --> 00:07:18,347 Yes 188 00:07:18,386 --> 00:07:20,251 the same aluminum you wrap leftovers in 189 00:07:20,546 --> 00:07:23,191 wrap sandwiches with and drink soda from 190 00:07:23,705 --> 00:07:24,811 Back in 1884 191 00:07:25,145 --> 00:07:27,551 aluminum cost about as much as silver 192 00:07:27,946 --> 00:07:31,150 it is one of the most abundant metals in the crust of the earth 193 00:07:31,265 --> 00:07:34,671 but nobody could extract it from ore efficiently 194 00:07:34,866 --> 00:07:37,710 so it stood shoulder to shoulder with silver 195 00:07:37,825 --> 00:07:40,590 precious enough to display in a Tiffany window 196 00:07:41,034 --> 00:07:41,459 And then 197 00:07:41,834 --> 00:07:43,032 in 1886 198 00:07:43,034 --> 00:07:45,238 two years after the monument was finished 199 00:07:45,274 --> 00:07:49,318 a twenty two year old named Charles Martin Hall invented electrolysis 200 00:07:49,514 --> 00:07:53,678 in his lab he dissolved alumina in molten cryolite and ran current through it 201 00:07:53,834 --> 00:07:54,918 two hours later 202 00:07:54,993 --> 00:07:57,358 aluminum separated out of the ore 203 00:07:57,993 --> 00:08:00,839 That invention rewrote the fate of aluminum 204 00:08:01,233 --> 00:08:02,199 within a few decades 205 00:08:02,274 --> 00:08:06,512 aluminum went from a treasure in Tiffany's window to candy wrapper material 206 00:08:06,514 --> 00:08:09,318 crumpled up and thrown in the trash 207 00:08:10,179 --> 00:08:12,105 After telling that story Konstantine 208 00:08:12,139 --> 00:08:14,264 said something that ran a chill down my spine 209 00:08:14,740 --> 00:08:14,925 aluminum 210 00:08:15,340 --> 00:08:16,304 is intelligence 211 00:08:16,699 --> 00:08:17,285 electrolysis 212 00:08:17,660 --> 00:08:18,624 is AI 213 00:08:19,019 --> 00:08:22,324 We are entering a world where skills that took ten 214 00:08:22,540 --> 00:08:25,064 or twenty years to reach a PhD level 215 00:08:25,139 --> 00:08:27,585 can be summoned in an instant 216 00:08:27,660 --> 00:08:30,225 and crumpled up and tossed when you are done 217 00:08:30,816 --> 00:08:32,340 Think about what that means 218 00:08:32,576 --> 00:08:33,520 if you are a lawyer 219 00:08:33,775 --> 00:08:35,040 seven years of studying law 220 00:08:35,535 --> 00:08:36,441 if you are a doctor 221 00:08:36,735 --> 00:08:37,880 ten years of studying medicine 222 00:08:38,375 --> 00:08:40,100 if you are a financial analyst 223 00:08:40,135 --> 00:08:43,815 fifteen years in the industry you think that is your moat 224 00:08:43,816 --> 00:08:45,220 you think nobody can take it 225 00:08:45,455 --> 00:08:47,380 but aluminum thought so too 226 00:08:47,576 --> 00:08:49,541 Aluminum was once as expensive as silver 227 00:08:49,576 --> 00:08:51,740 it stood on top of the Washington Monument 228 00:08:51,896 --> 00:08:54,894 then a twenty two year old spent two hours 229 00:08:54,896 --> 00:08:56,860 and rewrote its fate completely 230 00:08:57,772 --> 00:08:59,096 This is not fear mongering 231 00:08:59,132 --> 00:09:00,976 this is a pattern history keeps confirming 232 00:09:01,132 --> 00:09:03,490 when technology fully solves a scarcity 233 00:09:03,491 --> 00:09:04,777 that scarcity stops being worth anything 234 00:09:05,052 --> 00:09:06,356 Oil lamps gave way to electric light 235 00:09:06,652 --> 00:09:08,257 carriages gave way to cars 236 00:09:08,292 --> 00:09:10,336 long distance calls gave way to the internet 237 00:09:10,611 --> 00:09:13,051 every time people said this time is different 238 00:09:13,052 --> 00:09:14,356 my skill cannot be replaced 239 00:09:14,772 --> 00:09:15,356 and every time 240 00:09:15,652 --> 00:09:17,537 technology did not care what people thought 241 00:09:17,971 --> 00:09:18,970 Only this time 242 00:09:18,971 --> 00:09:22,297 the scarcity being solved is not a material or an energy source 243 00:09:22,331 --> 00:09:25,177 it is the intelligence we are so proud of 244 00:09:25,731 --> 00:09:28,811 Stop for a second and ask in the work you do now 245 00:09:28,811 --> 00:09:31,116 how much of it is selling an information gap in your head 246 00:09:32,091 --> 00:09:34,716 how much is charging because you read a few more books 247 00:09:35,132 --> 00:09:36,956 or handled a few more cases than the next person 248 00:09:37,571 --> 00:09:40,537 if AI closes those gaps within three years 249 00:09:40,811 --> 00:09:41,757 what is left of you 250 00:09:43,106 --> 00:09:44,790 Konstantine shared another detail 251 00:09:45,106 --> 00:09:48,190 in 2006 NASA needed an antenna for a satellite 252 00:09:48,506 --> 00:09:50,584 traditional antennas are drawn by engineers 253 00:09:50,586 --> 00:09:52,751 geometrically symmetric with elegant lines 254 00:09:52,785 --> 00:09:55,430 a perfect marriage of human taste and physics 255 00:09:55,706 --> 00:09:56,890 but that time NASA said 256 00:09:57,185 --> 00:09:58,670 let the computer design it 257 00:09:58,905 --> 00:10:00,711 They used an evolutionary algorithm 258 00:10:00,746 --> 00:10:04,190 letting the program try fail optimize and evolve 259 00:10:04,466 --> 00:10:07,145 the antenna it produced was bent and crooked 260 00:10:07,145 --> 00:10:08,270 with no symmetry at all 261 00:10:08,425 --> 00:10:10,751 it looked like a piece of wire someone had crumpled 262 00:10:11,065 --> 00:10:13,471 no engineer would ever draw that 263 00:10:13,706 --> 00:10:16,951 but it performed far better than the human designed ones 264 00:10:17,706 --> 00:10:19,111 In March 2006 265 00:10:19,145 --> 00:10:22,751 that evolved antenna flew to space on the satellite 266 00:10:22,905 --> 00:10:25,810 becoming the first hardware evolved by a computer 267 00:10:26,025 --> 00:10:27,790 ever to actually fly in space 268 00:10:28,002 --> 00:10:31,200 Konstantine said when we hand cognition to machines 269 00:10:31,201 --> 00:10:34,206 what comes back may defy human intuition entirely 270 00:10:34,482 --> 00:10:36,480 AI does not think the way we do 271 00:10:36,482 --> 00:10:38,367 it has an alien design language 272 00:10:38,522 --> 00:10:40,247 That line stayed with me for a long time 273 00:10:40,737 --> 00:10:44,801 we instinctively judge AI output by human taste is it pretty 274 00:10:45,577 --> 00:10:46,521 does it read like a human wrote it 275 00:10:47,056 --> 00:10:48,041 does it match our experience 276 00:10:48,896 --> 00:10:51,501 but that evolved antenna tells us 277 00:10:51,656 --> 00:10:54,862 the optimal answer may live outside the human map entirely 278 00:10:55,016 --> 00:10:56,901 that bent crooked wire 279 00:10:56,936 --> 00:11:00,622 simply outperformed the antenna the best human engineers could design 280 00:11:01,709 --> 00:11:03,674 There is something deeper here 281 00:11:03,949 --> 00:11:05,814 why does human design chase symmetry 282 00:11:06,309 --> 00:11:08,034 because the brain likes symmetry 283 00:11:08,309 --> 00:11:11,554 symmetry feels safe stable and predictable 284 00:11:11,829 --> 00:11:14,515 but the universe does not care what your brain likes 285 00:11:14,669 --> 00:11:16,909 the optimum is computed by the laws of physics 286 00:11:16,909 --> 00:11:19,314 not voted on by human taste 287 00:11:19,470 --> 00:11:22,714 When you offload cognition from the brain to algorithms 288 00:11:22,789 --> 00:11:25,434 what comes back may make no sense to you 289 00:11:25,510 --> 00:11:27,154 and it is still better 290 00:11:28,018 --> 00:11:29,563 If you are starting to feel anxious 291 00:11:29,778 --> 00:11:30,423 hold on 292 00:11:30,818 --> 00:11:34,663 Konstantine closed with something that quieted the whole room 293 00:11:34,939 --> 00:11:35,740 he said 294 00:11:35,898 --> 00:11:40,222 tens of thousands of years of art history were a chase after realism 295 00:11:40,538 --> 00:11:43,023 from cave paintings to Egyptian murals 296 00:11:43,138 --> 00:11:45,862 from Greek pottery to Renaissance oil painting 297 00:11:46,058 --> 00:11:49,023 we spent tens of thousands of years making pictures look more real 298 00:11:49,298 --> 00:11:52,183 Then in 1839 photography arrived 299 00:11:52,298 --> 00:11:54,482 a machine did in one second 300 00:11:54,538 --> 00:11:57,023 what generations of painters spent lifetimes learning 301 00:11:57,337 --> 00:12:00,697 everyone said painting was finished art was dead 302 00:12:00,697 --> 00:12:02,423 the machine renders better than any human 303 00:12:02,658 --> 00:12:03,923 Sound familiar 304 00:12:04,898 --> 00:12:07,582 it is exactly the AI conversation we are having today 305 00:12:08,016 --> 00:12:09,200 But what actually happened 306 00:12:09,656 --> 00:12:11,460 humans did not abandon art 307 00:12:11,495 --> 00:12:13,220 they redefined it 308 00:12:13,335 --> 00:12:17,421 painters asked themselves is art about capturing what the eye sees 309 00:12:17,575 --> 00:12:19,840 or capturing what the heart and soul see 310 00:12:20,455 --> 00:12:21,681 So impressionism came 311 00:12:21,936 --> 00:12:23,094 expressionism came 312 00:12:23,095 --> 00:12:24,301 cubism came 313 00:12:24,416 --> 00:12:29,061 these new art forms were humanity's greatest answer to that revolution 314 00:12:29,375 --> 00:12:31,141 Photography did not kill art 315 00:12:31,176 --> 00:12:33,100 it only killed realism 316 00:12:33,176 --> 00:12:36,661 the territory of art was blown wide open instead 317 00:12:37,225 --> 00:12:39,609 Konstantine ended by quoting a line from twenty five hundred years ago 318 00:12:39,864 --> 00:12:42,147 from the ancient Greek philosopher Protagoras 319 00:12:42,157 --> 00:12:44,470 man is the measure of all things 320 00:12:44,585 --> 00:12:47,543 Nothing has value to us in a vacuum 321 00:12:47,543 --> 00:12:48,305 not aluminum 322 00:12:48,305 --> 00:12:48,970 not art 323 00:12:49,144 --> 00:12:50,229 and not intelligence 324 00:12:50,345 --> 00:12:51,864 they have value 325 00:12:51,864 --> 00:12:53,989 because of how people experience them 326 00:12:54,225 --> 00:12:58,029 Then he said what I think was the most powerful line of the whole talk 327 00:12:58,264 --> 00:12:59,289 AI can do the work 328 00:12:59,624 --> 00:13:01,023 AI will do the work 329 00:13:01,024 --> 00:13:04,830 but only human connection gives you a reason to care 330 00:13:05,545 --> 00:13:07,550 Work will look completely different in ten years 331 00:13:07,784 --> 00:13:09,389 everything will change violently 332 00:13:09,624 --> 00:13:10,667 but one thing will not 333 00:13:10,677 --> 00:13:15,909 the relationship you build today with the person next to you will last 334 00:13:16,185 --> 00:13:19,509 that is what you will find truly valuable when you look back 335 00:13:20,617 --> 00:13:22,543 I have been an angel investor for over a decade 336 00:13:22,617 --> 00:13:26,303 I have watched wave after wave of technology wash over society 337 00:13:26,617 --> 00:13:27,896 every time a wave arrives 338 00:13:27,898 --> 00:13:31,622 most people react with fear afraid of being left behind 339 00:13:31,697 --> 00:13:32,602 afraid their skills lose value 340 00:13:32,938 --> 00:13:35,023 afraid there is no place for them in the new world 341 00:13:35,377 --> 00:13:37,742 That fear is real and reasonable 342 00:13:37,898 --> 00:13:41,102 but fear has never been a good guide to action 343 00:13:42,128 --> 00:13:44,607 The biggest takeaway for me from this Sequoia talk 344 00:13:44,608 --> 00:13:46,814 is not how big a ten trillion dollar market is 345 00:13:46,848 --> 00:13:49,534 nor how fast a century compresses into a hundred days 346 00:13:49,728 --> 00:13:52,934 it is the deepest lesson hidden in the aluminum story 347 00:13:53,449 --> 00:13:55,654 Aluminum went from treasure to trash 348 00:13:55,728 --> 00:13:57,574 not because aluminum changed 349 00:13:57,929 --> 00:13:58,833 it is the same aluminum 350 00:13:59,208 --> 00:14:00,367 same chemical formula 351 00:14:00,368 --> 00:14:01,314 same physical properties 352 00:14:01,649 --> 00:14:02,694 same uses 353 00:14:03,128 --> 00:14:05,333 what changed was the cost of getting it 354 00:14:05,728 --> 00:14:09,373 When that cost falls from astronomical to almost nothing 355 00:14:09,608 --> 00:14:11,294 the scarcity disappears 356 00:14:11,728 --> 00:14:13,394 value is not in the thing itself 357 00:14:13,649 --> 00:14:15,013 it is in the scarcity 358 00:14:16,050 --> 00:14:16,915 So in the AI age 359 00:14:17,250 --> 00:14:18,594 what is actually scarce 360 00:14:19,010 --> 00:14:20,289 Knowledge is not scarce 361 00:14:20,290 --> 00:14:22,035 AI remembers more and looks it up faster 362 00:14:22,530 --> 00:14:23,809 reasoning is not scarce 363 00:14:23,809 --> 00:14:25,594 AI calculates more precisely and thinks more completely 364 00:14:26,209 --> 00:14:28,529 even judgment is being eaten away by AI 365 00:14:28,530 --> 00:14:32,415 because AI has seen more cases than any expert sees in a lifetime 366 00:14:32,689 --> 00:14:34,275 So what can AI not do 367 00:14:34,609 --> 00:14:36,474 what will never turn into aluminum 368 00:14:37,170 --> 00:14:38,833 I think Konstantine already gave the answer 369 00:14:38,843 --> 00:14:41,255 it is why you do this at all 370 00:14:41,290 --> 00:14:42,354 it is what you care about 371 00:14:42,609 --> 00:14:44,094 it is who you are with 372 00:14:44,130 --> 00:14:48,135 it is the pain the joy the confusion and the insight you have lived 373 00:14:49,089 --> 00:14:50,834 AI can generate ten thousand love poems 374 00:14:51,050 --> 00:14:51,875 but it has never loved 375 00:14:52,370 --> 00:14:54,655 AI can analyze ten thousand business models 376 00:14:54,729 --> 00:14:56,434 but it never loses sleep over a product 377 00:14:56,969 --> 00:14:59,054 AI can simulate the language of empathy 378 00:14:59,130 --> 00:15:00,689 but it has never lost anyone 379 00:15:00,689 --> 00:15:03,934 Your scarcity is not how much knowledge you carry 380 00:15:04,010 --> 00:15:06,375 it is that you are someone who has lived 381 00:15:07,352 --> 00:15:11,077 I once read an analogy fearing AI will replace human connection 382 00:15:11,112 --> 00:15:13,558 is like fearing calculators will replace mathematicians 383 00:15:13,793 --> 00:15:15,378 calculators replaced arithmetic 384 00:15:15,673 --> 00:15:16,597 not mathematics 385 00:15:16,832 --> 00:15:18,837 That line is exactly right 386 00:15:18,952 --> 00:15:21,758 AI replaces the mechanical part of cognition 387 00:15:21,832 --> 00:15:25,398 the parts that can be encoded compressed and copied at scale 388 00:15:25,712 --> 00:15:27,437 but the understanding between two people 389 00:15:27,592 --> 00:15:29,918 the moment something clicks late at night 390 00:15:30,072 --> 00:15:32,817 the thing that floods your chest the first time you become a parent 391 00:15:33,393 --> 00:15:34,792 these are not data 392 00:15:34,793 --> 00:15:35,957 they are existence itself 393 00:15:36,224 --> 00:15:36,929 I often say 394 00:15:37,385 --> 00:15:38,829 all knowledge is a raft 395 00:15:39,064 --> 00:15:40,109 science is a raft 396 00:15:40,265 --> 00:15:41,010 Buddhism is a raft 397 00:15:41,385 --> 00:15:42,370 philosophy is a raft 398 00:15:42,864 --> 00:15:44,030 AI is a raft too 399 00:15:44,464 --> 00:15:45,650 A raft is for crossing the river 400 00:15:45,944 --> 00:15:46,910 not for collecting 401 00:15:47,224 --> 00:15:49,343 wise people do not cling to the raft 402 00:15:49,344 --> 00:15:50,630 they look at the far shore 403 00:15:51,024 --> 00:15:52,869 Sequoia says the car has arrived 404 00:15:53,624 --> 00:15:53,969 fine 405 00:15:54,305 --> 00:15:55,310 the car has arrived 406 00:15:55,705 --> 00:15:57,369 do you keep clutching your saddle 407 00:15:57,825 --> 00:15:58,690 or do you learn to drive 408 00:15:59,504 --> 00:16:03,769 or do you answer the deeper question where are you actually going 409 00:16:04,464 --> 00:16:06,030 What do you think in the AI age 410 00:16:06,104 --> 00:16:08,210 what skill will never turn into aluminum 411 00:16:08,785 --> 00:16:10,430 I am curious about your answer 412 00:16:10,825 --> 00:16:11,489 I am Leo Wang 413 00:16:11,744 --> 00:16:12,738 see you next time